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Market Recommendations
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Don't know where to start? These markets are excellent for beginners. Everybody can predict the weather. Explore the starter pack markets.
Media
The media prediction market lets you trade on outcomes in film, TV, streaming and news. Questions include which show tops the streaming charts, how a film performs on its opening weekend, or who wins a major award.
Each outcome has a price that reflects how likely traders think it is. When the result is known, the market settles and correct positions pay out.
Example markets
Avengers: Doomsday: Cast
Dec 18 @ 6:00AM
Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Winner
Nov 25 @ 2:00AM
Pop culture
The pop culture prediction market covers music, celebrities and internet culture. You can take a position on chart placements, album release dates, award show winners or which trend takes off next.
Prices move as people buy and sell, so the current price shows what the crowd expects to happen.
Example markets
Top Spotify Song 2026
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
Weather
The weather prediction market lets you trade on measurable weather outcomes: a city's daily high temperature, rainfall or snowfall totals, or whether a storm reaches a certain strength.
Markets settle against official weather records once the period ends, so every outcome has a clear, checkable answer.
Example markets
Highest temperature in Paris on November 6?
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?
Updated November 10, 2026
The wild cards. These are the markets you don't expect to be profitable, but they are. If you want to try something new, we recommend these.
Weather
The weather prediction market lets you trade on measurable weather outcomes: a city's daily high temperature, rainfall or snowfall totals, or whether a storm reaches a certain strength.
Markets settle against official weather records once the period ends, so every outcome has a clear, checkable answer.
Example markets
Highest temperature in Paris on November 6?
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?
Technology
The technology prediction market covers product launches, AI developments and company milestones. Questions include whether a device ships by a given date, which AI model leads a public benchmark, or what a company announces at its next keynote.
Each outcome has a price that reflects how likely traders think it is. Markets settle against official announcements once the deadline passes.
Example markets
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Mentions
Mentions markets let you trade on whether someone says a specific word or phrase during a set event, such as a press conference, an earnings call or a televised speech.
Each market settles against the official transcript or recording once the event ends, so the answer is easy to check.
Example markets
What will Powell say during the December Fed press conference?
Will "AI" be said 10+ times on the next Apple earnings call?
Updated November 10, 2026
The markets that constantly bring in results. If you want a reliable prediction with likely outcomes these are the best choices for you. They never fail.
Sport
The sport prediction market lets you trade on results in football, basketball, tennis, motorsport and more. Questions include who wins a match, which team lifts a trophy, or whether a player reaches a set number of points.
Prices change as the event gets closer and news comes in. When the result is official, the market settles and correct positions pay out.
Example markets
DAL Cowboys vs IND Colts
Nov 8 @ 7:00PM · NFL
TOR Raptors vs MIL Bucks
Nov 7 @ 2:00AM · NBA
Politics
The politics prediction market covers decisions and events in government: whether a bill passes, who is appointed to a role, or how a leader's approval rating moves.
Each outcome has a price that reflects how likely traders think it is, so the market gives a running read of what people expect.
Example markets
US-Iran ceasefire continues through…?
Next French Presidential Election
Elections
The elections prediction market lets you trade on vote outcomes: who wins a national or local race, which party takes the most seats, or what turnout looks like.
Markets settle against the official certified results, so every outcome has a clear, checkable answer.
Example markets
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Texas Senate margin of victory
Live99.0% of vote counted · 55.1% · 5,445,121 votes
Updated November 10, 2026
New to prediction markets? Here are quick answers to the questions we hear most.
A prediction market lets you buy and sell contracts on the outcome of real-world events, like sports results, elections, economic data or entertainment awards. Each contract usually pays a fixed amount (often $1) if the outcome happens and nothing if it doesn't.
Prices move between $0.01 and $0.99 based on supply and demand. A contract trading at $0.65 suggests the market sees roughly a 65% chance of that outcome. If you buy at $0.65 and you're right, you collect $1, so your profit is $0.35 per contract before fees.
At a sportsbook you bet against the house at odds the house sets. On a prediction market you trade with other users, prices change in real time, and you can often sell your position before the event ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
Some prediction market platforms run as federally regulated exchanges overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Rules are still changing and availability can differ by state and by type of market, so check each platform's terms for your location before you sign up.
The minimum age depends on the platform and your state, and is usually 18+ or 21+. Expect to verify your identity when you open an account.
Yes, if your calls are better than the market's, but there's no guarantee. You can lose the full amount you put into a contract. Do your research, use our expert picks as a starting point, and only trade money you can afford to lose.
Set deposit and time limits and take breaks often. If you or someone you know needs support, call or text the National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-GAMBLER.